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Dimension: Informedness

Enumerate scenarios

Ability to generate lists of likely scenarios, including edge cases, in which decisions will be applied, to help participants better understand the issue space.

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How this is performed now...

Process organizers
Process organizers rely on experts or organizers themselves to develop scenarios as a way of informing participants.
Citizens' assembly organizers
Citizens’ assemblies organizers will use scenarios as a way to help participants understand the logic of the issue and sometimes to help test draft proposals.

Related Product Gaps

There are no related product gaps at the moment.

Related Goals and Research Questions

Goal: Scenarios that can be reliably enumerated to inform deliberations.

How can we enumerate a comprehensive set of scenarios or cases that a policy needs to address?

Simulation & Modeling Public Policy & Law
Related Capability: Enumerate scenarios

How can we identify the likelihood that key scenarios are missing?

Simulation & Modeling
Related Capability: Enumerate scenarios

How can we track and mitigate biases within scenario mapping?

Psychology Simulation & Modeling
Related Capability: Enumerate scenarios

How can we develop criteria and methods for prioritizing scenarios based on likelihood, impact, and relevance to deliberative decisions?

Simulation & Modeling Public Policy & Law
Related Capability: Enumerate scenarios

How should we best treat low probability but high impact edge cases?

Simulation & Modeling Public Policy & Law
Related Capability: Enumerate scenarios

How can we effectively account for uncertainty in scenario consequences?

Simulation & Modeling Psychology
Related Capability: Enumerate scenarios

Goal: Enumerated scenarios that can be effectively and fairly integrated into deliberations.

How can we represent scenarios in an interactive and educational process (not predictive modelling)?

Education & Learning Communication & Media
Related Capability: Enumerate scenarios

Related Resources

PolicyCraft: Supporting Collaborative and Participatory Policy Design through Case-Grounded Deliberation

A collaborative policy design system enabling participatory policymaking by anchoring discussions in concrete cases rather than abstract principles, using discussion and voting mechanisms. Field studies across two university courses demonstrated that students using PolicyCraft reached greater con...
Research
Tzu-Sheng Kuo, Quan Ze Chen, Amy X. Zhang, Jane Hsieh, Haiyi Zhu and Kenneth Holstein

Generative Social Choice: The Next Generation

Extends the Generative Social Choice framework with theoretical guarantees for approximately optimal queries and budget limits on overall slate length, addressing the challenge of producing representative slates of statements from open-ended user opinions. Uses GPT-4o to demonstrate effectiveness...
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Niclas Boehmer, Sara Fish and Ariel D. Procaccia