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Leverage AI
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Recommendations
Build
Fund
Research
Measure
Leverage AI
Practice
Explore
Contribute
About
Updates
← Explore Goals
Goal
Scenarios that can be reliably enumerated to inform deliberations.
Related Product Gaps
Decision Impact Forecasting and Modeling
Urgent
Interface where participants input policy proposals and receive impact models, showing effects on both targeted and related outcomes with confidence intervals, assumptions, and interactive exploration capabilities.
Related Research Questions
How can we enumerate a comprehensive set of scenarios or cases that a policy needs to address?
How can we identify the likelihood that key scenarios are missing?
How can we track and mitigate biases within scenario mapping?
How can we develop criteria and methods for prioritizing scenarios based on likelihood, impact, and relevance to deliberative decisions?
How should we best treat low probability but high impact edge cases?
How can we effectively account for uncertainty in scenario consequences?
Related Capability
Enumerate scenarios
Ability to generate lists of likely scenarios, including edge cases, in which decisions will be applied, to help participants better understand the issue space.
Maturity
Opportunity
Importance
Neglectedness
Dimension: Informedness
